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A Merry Christmas for technology?

Apple's iPhone 4s will be one of the big hits of the holiday season.
Michael Nienaltowski
Apple's iPhone 4s will be one of the big hits of the holiday season.

Strategic News Service publisher Mark Anderson is predicting the technology sector will end the year on a relatively high note. But, as he tells KPLU's Dave Meyer on The Digital Future, he's worried about the first quarter of 2012.

It's more about units than dollars

The tech sector will be selling a lot of products, but they won't be big ticket items like desktop computers. Less expensive items such as smartphones and tablets will be best sellers.

Good times for Apple and Amazon

Apple virtually owns the tablet market with its iPad 2. And the iPhone 4s, while not the iPhone 5 many had hoped for, is wildly popular.

Amazon's new color Kindle, the Fire, should be a big hit, but don't expect it to directly compete with the iPad. If you already own an iPad, there's no real incentive to buy a Fire. But for those who want a good e-book reader without shelling out the big bucks for an iPad, it should be a hit.

Don't worry about Q4; worry about Q1

Mark sees too many problems with broken financial and political systems, both at home and abroad. 2011 may end well, but 2012 will get off to a rocky start. The global economic recovery remains elusive.

The Digital Future” is a monthly interview with technology expert Mark Anderson covering the online world and all things digital. The feature is published here on the last Tuesday of every month and airs on KPLU 88.5 during Morning Edition and All Things Considered.

Dave Meyer has been anchoring KNKX news shows since 1987. He grew up along the shores of Hood Canal near Belfair and graduated from Washington State University with degrees in communications and psychology.
Mark Anderson is the CEO of the Strategic News Service® (SNS), SNS was the first subscription-based newsletter on the Internet, and is read by Bill Gates, Michael Dell, Mark Hurd, and industry leaders and investors in computing and communications worldwide. Mark is the founding chair of the Future in Review® (FiRe) Conference, which the Economist has labeled “the best technology conference in the world,” as well as of SNS Project Inkwell, the first global consortium to address technology design changes for one-to-one computing in classrooms. He is the founder of two software companies, a hedge fund, and the Washington Technology Industry Association “Fast Pitch” investment forum, Washington’s premier technology investment conference.