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All You Belletristic Bookies, Who Will Win This Year's Nobel Prize In Literature?

Does this man deserve the 2010 Nobel Prize in Literature?
Kevin Winter
/
Getty Images for AFI
Does this man deserve the 2010 Nobel Prize in Literature?

On Thursday, the Swedish Academy will award the Nobel Prize in Literature. The new laureate will get a handsome medal, an invitation to deliver a lecture, and a nice chunk of change.

Ahead of the announcement, there is plenty of speculation about who deserves the award.

The New Yorker's Ian Crouch notes that, "for gamblers with a literary bent, it's a most exciting time of the year."

Ladbrokes, "one of the world's leading betting and gaming enterprises," has the odds. Swedish poet Tomas Transtromer has the best odds: 4/1. The worst? Bob Dylan (150/1).

"Could this be a big year for the hometown favorite?" Crouch asks. "Probably not."

Herta Muller, last year’s winner, was given 50/1 odds, while the 2008 winner, Jean-Marie Gustave Le Clézio, was 14/1 on that year’s board. The Nobel’s picks in literature are often quirky; Ladbrokes might get killed if more punters cared about such things.

What's your pick? (No betting required.)

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David Gura
Based in New York, David Gura is a correspondent on NPR's business desk. His stories are broadcast on NPR's newsmagazines, All Things Considered, Morning Edition and Weekend Edition, and he regularly guest hosts 1A, a co-production of NPR and WAMU.