According to the latest non-partisan Elway Poll released Wednesday, Washington Governor Jay Inslee leads his top Republican challenger by nine points. Pollster Stuart Elway said a nine point race at this early stage seems like a tight race.
“For an incumbent governor versus a candidate that nobody knows,” he said.
That other candidate, Bill Bryant, is a Port of Seattle commissioner. The poll shows Inslee with 39 percent of voters’ support to Bryant’s 30 percent with nearly a third undecided. The poll has a 4.5 percent margin of error.
“Thirty-nine percent is not where an incumbent wants to be, so there is some vulnerability there,” Elway said.
But Elway added that Inslee still has a “structural advantage” going into 2016. Washington hasn’t elected a Republican governor since 1980 and there are “many more” Democrats in Washington than Republicans. And Inslee is out-raising Bryant by a better than four-to-one margin.
Democrats said a nine-point lead is a strong position for re-election. The Bryant campaign said the poll is evidence Inslee is vulnerable.
The new Elway Poll also shows Inslee’s positive job performance rating has slipped below 40 percent. However, a Morning Consult poll last month showed Inslee with a 55 percent approval rating.
![Washington Governor Jay Inslee, left, faces a challenge from Port of Seattle Commissioner Bill Bryant](https://npr.brightspotcdn.com/dims4/default/f4e7737/2147483647/strip/true/crop/800x600+0+0/resize/880x660!/quality/90/?url=http%3A%2F%2Fmediad.publicbroadcasting.net%2Fp%2Fnorthwestnews%2Ffiles%2F201512%2Finslee_bryant.jpg)
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